Match Background
Match Background UTC, November 6, 2026, 01:45, a Europa League group stage match will kick off as Serie A side AC Milan host Hungarian team Ferencvarosi TC. In terms of league level and club pedigree, AC Milan is undoubtedly the side attracting more attention in this match, while Ferencvarosi TC, as a strong team in the Hungarian NB I, also has some European experience. This match may have an important impact on both teams' qualification prospects in the group, so both sides will go all out.
Team Information
AC Milan is a traditional powerhouse in Serie A and has won domestic and European honors many times in its history. This season in the Europa League, AC Milan's performances have fluctuated, with both big wins and defeats. From recent matches, AC Milan's attack has strong firepower, but the defense occasionally shows instability. When playing at home, AC Milan often displays stronger control.
From the long-term dimension of technical statistics, AC Milan's average goals per match in the last ten matches across all competitions is 2, average goals conceded is 1.5, average shots faced is 12.1, average corners is 3.9, average yellow cards is 1.7, average fouls is 10.9, and average possession is 56.4%. This set of data outlines a team that dominates possession and has stable attacking output, but whose defense is not impenetrable. The data from the last five matches further amplifies this feature: average goals per match 2, average goals conceded 2, average shots faced 14.4, possession 52.2%, indicating that the team's defensive pressure has increased recently and opponents are getting more shooting opportunities. The last three matches show a distribution of average goals per match 2.3, average goals conceded 1.7, average shots faced 13.3, and possession 56.3%, with attacking efficiency recovering somewhat, but the number of shots faced remains not low.
Ferencvarosi TC is one of the representative teams of Hungarian football and has long remained competitive in the domestic league. This season in the Hungarian NB I, Ferencvarosi TC has performed relatively steadily and can create many chances in attack. However, in a second-tier European competition like the Europa League, when facing teams from the top five leagues, Ferencvarosi TC may be at a disadvantage in overall strength and experience. The team needs to maintain high concentration in defense while using counterattacks to seek opportunities.
Ferencvarosi TC's technical statistics present another picture. In the last ten matches, the team averages 3 goals per match, concedes only 0.7 goals per match, faces 9.3 shots per match, averages 8 corners, 1.9 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 58.4% possession. In the last five matches, it averages 3.2 goals per match, concedes 0.6 goals per match, faces 5 shots per match, averages 10.8 corners, and has 63.8% possession; in the last three matches, it averages 3.7 goals per match, concedes 0.3 goals per match, faces 4 shots per match, averages 11.7 corners, and has 62.7% possession. This set of data shows that in recent matches Ferencvarosi TC has not only been firing on all cylinders in attack but also quite solid in defense, with opponents getting very few shooting opportunities, while the team also holds a clear advantage in corner counts. Of course, most of these opponents are Hungarian NB I and Hungarian Cup teams, and the intensity cannot be compared with facing a Serie A team in the Europa League, but it at least reflects that the team is currently operating smoothly and is full of confidence.
Recent Form
From AC Milan's recent match data, the team has won many matches in the last ten matches across all competitions but has also suffered several defeats. Specifically, on November 1, 2026, AC Milan beat Inter Milan 3-1 at home in Serie A, leading 3-1 at halftime and showing strong attacking efficiency. On October 29, 2026, AC Milan lost 2-4 at home to Bologna, being overturned after leading 2-1 at halftime, exposing certain problems in defense. On October 26, 2026, AC Milan won 2-0 away at Udinese, leading 1-0 at halftime, with relatively balanced performances in attack and defense. On October 23, 2026, AC Milan lost 0-3 away to Bournemouth in the Europa League, trailing 0-2 at halftime, and this defeat had some impact on the team's morale. On October 19, 2026, AC Milan beat Atalanta 3-2 at home, leading 2-0 at halftime, with multiple scorers in attack. On October 16, 2026, AC Milan won 4-0 away at Salzburg in the Europa League, leading 2-0 at halftime, showing strong away performance. On October 12, 2026, AC Milan drew 1-1 away at Sassuolo, 0-0 at halftime. On September 21, 2026, AC Milan beat Lecce 3-0 at home, leading 1-0 at halftime. On September 17, 2026, AC Milan lost 0-2 at home to Benfica in the Europa League, trailing 0-1 at halftime. On September 13, 2026, AC Milan drew 2-2 away at Lazio, trailing 0-2 at halftime. Overall, AC Milan's recent results have alternated between wins and losses, with unstable form, but the home attacking firepower is worthy of recognition.
Looking at AC Milan's recent matches split by home and away, the home performances show clear two-sidedness. Home wins of 3-1 over Inter Milan, 3-2 over Atalanta, and 3-0 over Lecce produced 9 goals in total, and the attacking explosiveness is beyond doubt; but home defeats of 2-4 to Bologna and 0-2 to Benfica also show that the team is not invulnerable at home, especially against opponents capable of efficient counterattacks or set-piece threats, when the defense can loosen. Away, the 4-0 win at Salzburg is the representative performance of this season's Europa League, but the 0-3 loss at Bournemouth was also away, and the magnitude of the fluctuation is a true reflection of this team's recent form.
Lineup Information
From the schedule perspective, AC Milan has recently been in a rhythm of fighting on two fronts in Serie A and the Europa League, and physical distribution and squad rotation will be issues the coaching staff needs to consider. Ferencvarosi TC also faces multi-front tasks in the domestic league and cup, but the overall competitive intensity of the Hungarian NB I differs from that of Serie A, and the team's performances in European competition often better test its true level. In this match, AC Milan has the advantage of playing at home, while Ferencvarosi TC needs to overcome the disadvantage of playing away.
Odds Movement
It should be noted that this is a dialogue across league levels. The pace, physical intensity, and tactical complexity of Serie A have long been at the forefront of Europe, and the overall quality AC Milan has honed in such an environment is difficult for Ferencvarosi TC to fully replicate in the Hungarian NB I. But the Europa League has always been a breeding ground for upsets, and Hungarian NB I teams often show large differences between home and away performances. Ferencvarosi TC's strong output in domestic competition recently at least shows that the team's attack is in a fairly smooth state. Whether this form can continue against a Serie A team is one of the most noteworthy points of this match.
Technical Statistics
From the overall group stage landscape, the Europa League schedule is dense, and points from every match may affect the final ranking trajectory. AC Milan's previous performances in the Europa League have fluctuated, with both highlights such as a big away win and lows such as a home defeat, which further raises the importance of this home match. Ferencvarosi TC also needs to fight for points away to maintain its competitiveness in the group. Neither side has room to hold back in terms of motivation, which also provides some support for the openness of the match.
Final Recommendation
- 1X2: AC Milan win
- Score: 3-1,4-1
- Handicap: AC Milan -1.5
- Total: Over 3