Recent Form
China played multiple Women's World Cup games in September 2026. On September 10 against France, China lost 61-90, trailing 31-48 at halftime; on September 9 against Puerto Rico, China won narrowly 75-72, leading 41-40 at halftime; on September 8 against Italy, China won 71-51, leading 40-21 at halftime; on September 6 against Czech Republic, China won 74-70, trailing 33-41 at halftime; on September 4 against the United States, China lost 61-94, trailing 29-49 at halftime. In friendlies, China lost narrowly to Spain 71-72 on August 31, beat Mali 79-68 on August 29, and lost to Italy 76-88 on August 22. Overall, China's recent form has fluctuated, with offense easily stifled against world-class teams, but able to score steadily against weaker opponents.
From average quarter statistics, China's last 10 games averaged 18.9 points in the first quarter, 17.7 in the second, 17.9 in the third, 18.6 in the fourth, 1 in overtime, and 74.1 overall; among them, in 5 home games, it averaged 20 in the first quarter, 18.2 in the second, 20.2 in the third, 16.6 in the fourth, 2 in overtime, and 77 overall; in 5 away games, it averaged 17.8 in the first quarter, 17.2 in the second, 15.6 in the third, 20.6 in the fourth, and 71.2 overall. In terms of points allowed, China's last 10 games averaged 18.7 allowed in the first quarter, 19.1 in the second, 17.7 in the third, 18.5 in the fourth, 0.6 in overtime, and 74.6 overall; in 5 home games, it averaged 19.8 allowed in the first quarter, 19.4 in the second, 16 in the third, 18.6 in the fourth, 1.2 in overtime, and 75 overall; in 5 away games, it averaged 17.6 allowed in the first quarter, 18.8 in the second, 19.4 in the third, 18.4 in the fourth, and 74.2 overall. This data shows that China's scoring distribution is relatively balanced, with no obvious fixed pattern of single-quarter explosions or droughts; when playing at home, first-quarter scoring is slightly higher, while when playing away, fourth-quarter scoring is slightly higher.
Lineup Information
From the tournament background, the group stage of Asian Games women's basketball is often a window for strong teams to adjust form and integrate lineups, and also an opportunity for weaker teams to accumulate major tournament experience. China's overall strength in Asia has long been in the top tier, clearly superior to its group opponents in inside height, wing physicality and backcourt organization. Indonesia has made progress in Southeast Asian competitions in recent years, but on a stage like the Asian Games, against an opponent of China's caliber, its overall competitiveness remains limited. The focus of this game is not who wins or loses, but whether China can display the expected dominance on both ends, and whether Indonesia can maintain some offensive efficiency under high-pressure defense.
China has shown strong team cohesion in recent international events, relying on inside-outside combination on offense and active rotations on defense. From head-to-head records, China holds an absolute advantage against Indonesia, winning all three recorded meetings by large margins. Indonesia's competitiveness in Asian Games women's basketball is relatively limited, lacking scoring ability against strong teams and struggling to contain opponents' multi-point attacks on defense. In this game, China has advantages in height, speed and tactical execution, while Indonesia needs to rely on outside shooting and fast breaks to find opportunities.
Technical Statistics
At 18:00 UTCon September 21, 2026, a group stage match in the Asian Games women's basketball tournament will see China and Indonesia face off. From head-to-head history and recent form, there is a clear gap in strength between the two sides, and the suspense of this game is more about the margin of victory and the total score. As a traditional powerhouse in Asia, China has rich experience and a stable offensive and defensive system in Asian Games women's basketball; Indonesia is still in a catching-up phase, and its offensive efficiency is often limited when facing high-intensity defense.
From season averages in technical statistics, China's field goal percentage is 45.8%, three-point percentage 34.8%, two-point percentage 51.4%, free throw percentage 76%, averaging 32.5 rebounds, 22.1 assists, 6.4 steals, 15.1 turnovers, 77.1 points scored and 72.4 points allowed. Indonesia's field goal percentage is 31.2%, three-point percentage 22.2%, two-point percentage 35.5%, free throw percentage 71.8%, averaging 28.2 rebounds, 14.8 assists, 7.2 steals, 17 turnovers, 61 points scored and 52 points allowed. Comparing the two data sets, China has comprehensive advantages in shooting efficiency, assist creation and rebound protection, while Indonesia is slightly higher in steals, indicating its defense relies more on active hustling, but the higher turnovers also reflect shortcomings in ball handling under pressure.
Breaking down China's recent games more clearly reveals the team's scoring characteristics. On September 10 against France, China scored only 61 points overall and 31 at halftime, clearly suppressed by the opponent's high-intensity defense; on September 9 against Puerto Rico, China scored 75 points and 41 at halftime, in a close game ultimately winning by only 3 points; on September 8 against Italy, China scored 71 points and 40 at halftime, building a 19-point lead in the first half for a relatively comfortable game; on September 6 against Czech Republic, China scored 74 points, trailing by 8 at halftime but completing a comeback in the second half; on September 4 against the United States, China scored 61 points and 29 at halftime, also struggling to open up against top-level defense. In the friendly stage, China scored 71 against Spain on August 31, 79 against Mali on August 29, and 76 against Italy on August 22. It can be seen that China's recent single-game scoring is mostly concentrated between 61 and 79 points, lower against strong teams and steadily above 70 against relatively average opponents.
Final Recommendation
- Handicap: China -59.5
- Total: Under 154.5