Match Background
At 01:00 UTC on September 5, 2026, the Norwegian Eliteserien will feature a clash between a strong side and a weaker one, as Fredrikstad host Bodo/Glimt at home. This is a round 20 fixture in the Eliteserien. For Fredrikstad, playing at home against league leaders Bodo/Glimt, they need to be at their best to earn points. Bodo/Glimt, as the dominant force in Norwegian football in recent years, continue to show strong competitiveness this season. Their objective for this away match is clear: to take all three points and further consolidate their position at the top of the table.
Looking at the schedule, this match is scheduled for late Friday night, which tests the fitness and form of players from both sides. After a mid-season slump, Fredrikstad are currently in a relatively stable phase. They need to use their home advantage to pick up as many points as possible to stay clear of the relegation zone. Bodo/Glimt, on the other hand, have shown great adaptability in a congested fixture list, maintaining high standards in both league and European competitions. The outcome of this match will largely depend on whether Fredrikstad can hold firm defensively against Bodo/Glimt's sustained pressure.
The historical head-to-head record between these two clubs heavily favors Bodo/Glimt. In their most recent meeting on July 18, 2026, Bodo/Glimt secured a narrow 1-0 home victory over Fredrikstad, with the only goal coming in the first half. That match saw Bodo/Glimt dominate possession and create numerous chances, while Fredrikstad failed to register a single corner kick. Earlier in the 2025 season, Bodo/Glimt thrashed Fredrikstad 5-0 at home, with a 3-0 lead at halftime. In the reverse fixture in July 2025, Fredrikstad managed to keep the scoreline respectable but still fell 0-1 at home. Looking further back, Bodo/Glimt have won the majority of encounters, including a 2-2 draw in November 2024 and a 2-0 away win in April 2024. Fredrikstad's last victory over Bodo/Glimt came in October 2013, when they won 2-0 at home in the Norwegian second tier. Since then, Bodo/Glimt have been unbeaten in nine consecutive meetings, winning seven and drawing two. This historical dominance gives Bodo/Glimt a clear psychological edge going into this match.
Team Information
Fredrikstad are a mid-to-lower table side in the Eliteserien, with a mediocre season so far, currently sitting just below mid-table. Their home form is decent, but they often struggle against stronger opponents. Offensively, Fredrikstad rely mainly on teamwork, lacking a prolific striker to finish chances, while defensively they are prone to errors under high pressing. Facing a vastly superior Bodo/Glimt, Fredrikstad are likely to adopt a counter-attacking approach, hoping to snatch points using home advantage.
In terms of squad structure, Fredrikstad have limited depth, with a noticeable gap in quality between starters and substitutes. Over the course of the league season, they have shown inconsistency, capable of beating mid-table teams at home but also collapsing against stronger sides. Their attacking style is somewhat one-dimensional, relying on crosses and set pieces, with limited creativity in open play. Defensively, their backline often struggles against pacey forwards, especially during transitions, where they can be caught out of position.
Statistical data from their recent matches paints a clearer picture of Fredrikstad's style. Over their last 10 matches across all competitions, they have averaged 47.5% possession, indicating that they are comfortable ceding the ball to opponents. Their average of 14.9 shots conceded per game is relatively high, and this number tends to increase when facing top-tier teams. In their last 5 matches, they have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game, but this figure is inflated by a 7-1 thrashing of lower-league Eidsvold in the Norwegian Cup. In league matches, their scoring output is more modest. Fredrikstad's corner statistics also reflect their subordinate role: they average 4.4 corners per game over the last 10 matches, while their opponents often earn more. In their last home league match against Kristiansund, they won 1-0 but managed only 2 corners compared to Kristiansund's 10, highlighting their reliance on defensive solidity rather than sustained pressure.
Bodo/Glimt are a traditional powerhouse in Norwegian football, having won multiple league titles in recent years. This season, they remain strong, sitting near the top of the table. They are balanced in both attack and defense, with a potent offense and a solid defense. Their away record is also impressive, with a high win rate on the road this season. With a deep squad and several players capable of changing the game, Bodo/Glimt hold a clear psychological and physical advantage over opponents like Fredrikstad.
Bodo/Glimt's success is no accident; they have excelled in youth development and recruitment, forming a mature system of high pressing and quick passing. Their midfield and forward players are individually outstanding, able to combine in tight spaces and create shooting opportunities. Additionally, Bodo/Glimt are dangerous from set pieces, whether direct free kicks or corner routines, causing problems for opponents. Defensively, they have strong collective awareness, effectively limiting the space for opposing attacks.
Their statistical profile is that of a dominant team. Over their last 10 matches, they have averaged 61% possession, and their opponents have managed only 9.6 shots per game against them. In contrast, Bodo/Glimt themselves create a high volume of chances, averaging 6.7 corners per game. Their last 3 matches have seen them average 67.7% possession and concede only 5.7 shots per game, demonstrating their ability to control games from start to finish. In their most recent away league match against Valerenga on August 8, they won 2-1 despite having only 8 corners to Valerenga's 8, showing they can win even when not dominating set pieces. Their attacking output is prolific, with 3.2 goals per game over the last 10 matches, while conceding just 0.9 per game.
For Fredrikstad, the squad is relatively complete with no major injury concerns. The first-choice goalkeeper and defensive line are expected to start, and the performance of the midfield core will be crucial to their transition play. The forwards need to make the most of limited counter-attacking opportunities, and set pieces could be a key route to goal for Fredrikstad. However, facing Bodo/Glimt's high press, Fredrikstad's ability to play out from the back will be severely tested.
According to statistics, Fredrikstad have averaged only 47.5% possession in their last 10 matches, with passing accuracy and passes into the final third ranking in the lower half of the league. Their attacking play relies mainly on counters and set pieces, with a moderate number of shots per game but decent efficiency. Defensively, they concede an average of 14.9 shots per game, a figure that tends to increase against stronger teams. For this match, Fredrikstad are expected to set up with five at the back or a 4-5-1 formation, attempting to use numerical superiority to limit Bodo/Glimt's attacking options.
Fredrikstad's recent matches have seen them adopt a defensive approach even against mid-table sides. In their 1-0 win over Kristiansund, they had only 2 corners and likely ceded possession, relying on a solid defensive block and a single goal. Against Rosenborg, they were overwhelmed, conceding 4 goals and managing just 3 corners. This suggests that against a team of Bodo/Glimt's caliber, Fredrikstad will need to be even more disciplined and compact. Their goalkeeper will likely be called upon to make several saves, and their defenders must be alert to the runs of Bodo/Glimt's forwards. Set pieces could be their best chance of scoring, as they have shown some prowess from corners and free kicks in previous matches.
For Bodo/Glimt, they have a deep squad with several key players in excellent form. Their forwards have been scoring prolifically, the midfield playmaker's distribution is outstanding, and the defense has been solid. They also have quality options on the bench, allowing for effective adjustments during the match. Bodo/Glimt are likely to field their strongest lineup, aiming for a full three points on the road.
Bodo/Glimt have averaged 61% possession in their last 10 matches, with significantly higher numbers of shots and shots on target than their opponents. Their attacking threats are widespread, with midfielders also capable of making late runs into the box to score. Defensively, they concede only 9.6 shots per game on average, making them one of the best defensive teams in the league. Additionally, Bodo/Glimt's corner statistics are impressive, averaging 6.7 corners per game compared to Fredrikstad's 4.4, reflecting the disparity in dominance on the pitch.
Their squad depth is evident from their ability to rotate in European competitions without a drop in performance. In the Champions League qualifiers, they have faced tough opponents like Saint Gilloise and NEC Nijmegen, and they have come through with strong results. This experience at a higher level will serve them well in domestic matches, where they are expected to dominate. Bodo/Glimt's high-pressing game will likely force Fredrikstad into errors, and their quick passing combinations will be difficult for the home side to contain. With multiple goal-scoring options, they are capable of breaking down even the most stubborn defenses.
Recent Form
Looking at recent matches, Fredrikstad have shown inconsistent form in the Eliteserien. In their last league outing, they beat Kristiansund 1-0 at home, ending a winless run and boosting morale. However, in the Norwegian Cup, they thrashed lower-league side Eidsvold 7-1 away, showing some attacking prowess, but the quality of the opposition was weak, limiting the value of that result. Fredrikstad's defense has not been solid in the league, conceding more goals against stronger teams.
Specifically, Fredrikstad have won 4, drawn 2, and lost 4 in their last 10 matches across all competitions, scoring 15 and conceding 12, a mediocre record. In the league, they have taken 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, showing signs of improvement. However, their win rate against teams in the top half of the table is notably low, indicating a lack of resilience in tough matches. It's worth noting that Fredrikstad have kept clean sheets in their last two home games, showing defensive improvement, but those opponents were not particularly strong. This match against Bodo/Glimt's formidable attack will be the real test.
A closer look at Fredrikstad's recent results reveals a pattern. On August 22, they demolished Eidsvold 7-1 in the Norwegian Cup, with a 3-1 lead at halftime and 9 corners to 1. That result, however, came against a team from a much lower division. In the league, they beat Kristiansund 1-0 at home on August 17, scoring in the first half and then holding on despite being out-cornered 2-10. Prior to that, they won 1-0 away at Start on August 9, again with a first-half goal. However, on August 1, they lost 0-4 at home to Rosenborg, a match where they were completely outclassed, managing only 3 corners to Rosenborg's 10. On July 28, they lost 0-4 away to Rosenborg as well, and on July 18, they lost 0-1 away to Bodo/Glimt, failing to earn a single corner. These results show that Fredrikstad can beat weaker teams but struggle against the league's top sides.
Bodo/Glimt are in scintillating form, unbeaten in multiple matches across all competitions. In the Eliteserien, they have been on a winning streak, with goals coming from various sources and a solid defensive record. They have also been dominant away from home, with a very high win rate this season. Their performances in European competitions have been impressive as well, and their league form has not suffered despite playing on multiple fronts. Facing a weaker Fredrikstad side, Bodo/Glimt are expected to continue their winning ways.
Bodo/Glimt have won 8 and drawn 2 in their last 10 matches, scoring 32 goals and conceding only 9, demonstrating dominance on both ends of the pitch. In the league, they have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 17 and conceding just 3, in sensational form. Additionally, they have performed well in the Champions League qualifiers, eliminating strong opponents like Union Saint-Gilloise and NEC Nijmegen, leaving their morale and confidence at a peak. Despite a congested schedule, Bodo/Glimt's squad depth is sufficient to cope with playing on two fronts, and their players' fitness does not appear to be significantly affected.
Their recent fixtures illustrate their relentless momentum. On August 27, they crushed Fauske-Sprint 5-0 in the Norwegian Cup, with a 3-0 halftime lead and 9 corners. On August 26, they beat NEC Nijmegen 3-0 at home in the Champions League qualifier, with a 2-0 lead at the break. On August 20, they won 3-1 away at NEC Nijmegen, again leading 2-0 at halftime. On August 12, they drew 2-2 at home with Saint Gilloise in the Champions League, and on August 8, they won 2-1 away at Valerenga in the league. On August 5, they drew 3-3 away at Saint Gilloise, a high-scoring affair. In league matches, they have been particularly dominant: a 4-0 home win over Lillestrom on August 1, a 3-0 away win at Sandefjord on July 26, and a 3-0 home win over Ham-Kam on July 23. This string of results shows that Bodo/Glimt are in peak form, scoring freely and keeping clean sheets against most opponents.
Odds Movement
The betting markets have clearly identified Bodo/Glimt as the overwhelming favorites for this match. The European odds have shifted significantly in their favor. Initially, the home win was priced at 7.9, the draw at 5.7, and the away win at 1.33. The current odds show the home win drifting to 8.8, the draw to 6.2, and the away win shortening to 1.29. This movement indicates that money has come in for Bodo/Glimt, and the market expects them to win comfortably.
The Asian handicap has also moved in Bodo/Glimt's favor. The initial handicap was Fredrikstad +1.5, with home odds at 0.99 and away odds at 0.89. The current handicap has deepened to Fredrikstad +1.75, with home odds at 0.91 and away odds at 0.97. This shift suggests that bookmakers believe Bodo/Glimt could win by at least two goals. The fact that the line has moved from +1.5 to +1.75 indicates strong confidence in the away side's ability to cover a larger handicap.
In the total goals market, the line has moved from 3.25 to 3.5. Initially, the over was priced at 0.87 and the under at 0.99. Currently, the over is at 0.99 and the under at 0.88. This upward movement in the total line suggests that a high-scoring game is anticipated, likely due to Bodo/Glimt's attacking prowess and Fredrikstad's defensive vulnerabilities against top teams. The over/under odds now favor the under slightly, but the line itself indicates that more than three goals are expected.
The halftime handicap is set at Fredrikstad +0.75, with home odds at 0.94 and away odds at 0.94, indicating a balanced market for the first half. The halftime total is 1.5 goals, with the over at 1.07 and the under at 0.81, suggesting that a goal in the first half is likely but not guaranteed. The halftime 1X2 odds show the away win at 1.66, the draw at 2.82, and the home win at 7.0, reinforcing Bodo/Glimt's favoritism even for the first half.
In the corner market, the handicap is Fredrikstad +4 corners, with home odds at 0.80 and away odds at 1.00. The total corners line is set at 10, with the over at 1.00 and the under at 0.80. Given Bodo/Glimt's average of 6.7 corners per game and Fredrikstad's 4.4, it is plausible that Bodo/Glimt will dominate the corner count, potentially covering the -4 handicap. However, Fredrikstad's defensive approach could limit the number of corners they concede, as they may pack the box and block shots.
Overall, the odds movement and market trends strongly favor Bodo/Glimt to win this match, likely by a margin of at least two goals. The total goals market suggests a high-scoring affair, with Bodo/Glimt expected to contribute the majority of the goals. Fredrikstad's best hope is to keep the scoreline respectable and perhaps snatch a goal on the counter or from a set piece, but the odds indicate that an upset is highly unlikely.
Risk Reminder
While all indicators point to a Bodo/Glimt victory, there are always risks to consider. Fredrikstad have shown resilience at home, keeping clean sheets in their last two home matches. If they can replicate that defensive solidity, they might frustrate Bodo/Glimt and force a low-scoring game. Additionally, Bodo/Glimt have a congested schedule, with European commitments in midweek. Fatigue could be a factor, especially if key players are rested or if the team's intensity drops. However, their squad depth has allowed them to manage such schedules effectively so far.
Another risk is the possibility of an early goal for Fredrikstad, which could change the dynamics of the match. If Fredrikstad score first, they might park the bus and make it difficult for Bodo/Glimt to break them down. Bodo/Glimt have the quality to come back, but it would increase the tension. Furthermore, the handicap line of +1.75 means that if Bodo/Glimt win by exactly two goals, Fredrikstad would lose the handicap bet but win the moneyline for those backing the home team with the handicap. Bettors should be aware of the nuances of the handicap system.
In terms of total goals, while the line has moved to 3.5, there is a possibility that the match could be low-scoring if Fredrikstad adopt an ultra-defensive approach. Bodo/Glimt have been involved in some high-scoring games, but they have also won matches 1-0, such as their recent victory over Fredrikstad in July. Therefore, the under could be a viable option if one believes Fredrikstad can keep the score down.
Finally, it is important to note that football is unpredictable, and even the strongest teams can have off days. Bodo/Glimt's recent form has been exceptional, but they cannot afford to be complacent. Fredrikstad, playing at home, will be motivated to prove themselves against the league leaders. While the odds heavily favor Bodo/Glimt, bettors should consider these risks before placing their wagers.
Final Recommendation
- 1X2: Bodo Glimt win
- Score: 0-4,1-3
- Handicap: Bodo Glimt -1.75
- Total: Over 3.5