At 18:30 UTC on July 18, 2026, the 24th round of KOR D1 will feature a match between Jeju SK FC and Pohang Steelers at Jeju's home ground. In their first meeting this season, Jeju SK FC defeated Pohang Steelers 2-0 away, but recent form and overall strength have shifted significantly. In this match, Pohang Steelers arrive on the back of three consecutive away wins, while Jeju SK FC have drawn two straight matches and have unstable home form, making the visitors likely to seek revenge on the road.
Match Background
This match is a regular fixture in the 24th round of KOR D1. Jeju SK FC currently sit mid-table, while Pohang Steelers are near the top, both with motivation to climb higher. Jeju SK FC's home record is average, with a low win rate in their last 10 home games; Pohang Steelers have been strong away, winning all three recent away matches and scoring 7 goals, showing excellent form on both ends. Historically, in the last 10 meetings, Jeju SK FC have 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a home record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, giving them a slight home advantage. However, in the first leg this season, Jeju SK FC won 2-0 away, when Pohang Steelers were favored by 0.5 at home but lost 0-2. But Pohang Steelers are in hot form recently, with 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Jeju SK FC have only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5, showing a clear gap in form.
Team Information
Jeju SK FC have had an average season overall, relying on individual players for attack and conceding about 1 goal per game on defense. The team has drawn two consecutive matches, first a 0-0 home draw against Daejeon Citizen and then a 1-1 away draw against Gimcheon Sangmu, indicating a decline in attacking efficiency. According to statistics, Jeju SK FC average 49.9% possession, 9.2 shots faced, 4 corners, 11.2 fouls, and 1.5 yellow cards per game in their last 10 matches. In their last 5 matches, they average 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded, showing balanced but unspectacular form. Pohang Steelers, on the other hand, are in excellent form, winning all three recent matches, including a 3-0 away win over Gwangju FC, a 3-2 away win over FC Anyang, and a 1-0 home win over Gwangju FC, averaging over 2 goals per game in attack while remaining solid defensively. Pohang Steelers average 50% possession, 9.1 shots faced, 3.7 corners, 9 fouls, and 1.8 yellow cards per game in their last 10 matches. In their last 5 matches, they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded, outperforming Jeju SK FC on both ends.
Recent Results
Jeju SK FC have 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5, a mediocre run. Specifically, on July 12, 2026, they drew 0-0 at home against Daejeon Citizen; on July 5, they drew 1-1 away at Gimcheon Sangmu; on May 17, they lost 1-2 at home to FC Anyang; on May 13, they lost 1-2 away to Ulsan HD; and on May 9, they won 2-1 at home against FC Seoul. At home, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 home matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5, showing no clear home advantage. Pohang Steelers have 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4, in excellent form. Specifically, on July 11, 2026, they won 3-0 away at Gwangju FC; on July 4, they won 3-2 away at FC Anyang; on May 17, they lost 0-2 away to Bucheon FC; on May 12, they won 1-0 away at Incheon United; and on May 9, they won 2-0 away at Daejeon Citizen. Away from home, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 away matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5, showing strong away form.
Squad Information
According to statistics, Jeju SK FC average about 49.9% possession, with shots and corners in the mid-range of the league. Pohang Steelers average 50% possession, but their away possession has dropped recently, though their attacking efficiency is higher. There are no clear injury or suspension reports for either side, so both are expected to field their strongest lineups. In terms of goal timing, Jeju SK FC's goals this season are concentrated in the final 15 minutes , while Pohang Steelers' goals are concentrated in 31-45 minutes and 61-75 minutes , both teams having clear peak periods. For goals conceded, Jeju SK FC concede most in 46-60 minutes , while Pohang Steelers concede more in 31-45 minutes .
Odds Movement
The initial European odds were 2.80-3.20-2.45, later adjusted to 3.00-3.00-2.40, with the away win odds dropping and home win and draw odds rising, indicating increased confidence in the visitors. The Asian handicap started at a pick'em and later moved to away -0.25, with the away team at high water, but the favored side has a clear advantage. The over/under remains at 2 goals, with over odds rising from 0.84 to 0.90 and under odds dropping from 1.03 to 0.97, suggesting some expectation of goals. For the first half, the handicap started at pick'em and later moved to away -0.25, with first half over/under at 0.75, over odds rising from 0.80 to 0.89 and under odds dropping from 1.06 to 0.98, indicating expectations of a first-half goal. The corner handicap is 8.5, with over at 0.875 and under at 0.925, suggesting not many corners.
Recommendation Logic
Based on recent form, Pohang Steelers are clearly superior to Jeju SK FC, especially with three consecutive away wins showcasing strong attacking power. Although Jeju SK FC have some resilience at home, their recent lack of attacking threat makes it difficult to score against a solid Pohang defense. Historically, Jeju SK FC have 2 wins and 1 loss in their last 3 home meetings against Pohang, but Pohang's strong away form this season may overcome the home advantage. The changes in European odds and Asian handicap also support the visitors, so an away win is recommended.
Risk Reminder
Football matches are unpredictable; Jeju SK FC have beaten Pohang at home before, and Pohang may experience a dip after big away wins. Additionally, the over/under is set at 2 goals, so if both defenses are tight, a low-scoring game is possible. Historically, 6 of the last 10 meetings had over 2 goals, but given Jeju's recent attacking struggles and Pohang's solid away defense, a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.
Final Recommendation
- 1X2: Pohang Steelers win
- Score: 1-2,0-3
- Handicap: Pohang Steelers -0.25
- Total: Over 2