Match Background
At 20:00 UTC on July 18, 2026, the 16th round of the Norwegian Football Super League will feature a match between Ham-Kam and Tromso IL at Ham-Kam's home ground. Both teams are mid-to-upper table in NOR D1, but their trajectories this season differ. Ham-Kam currently sits mid-table, with decent but inconsistent home form; Tromso IL, on the other hand, is on a hot streak, riding high after consecutive big wins. This match is an important opportunity for both sides to secure points and consolidate their rankings. The NOR D1 is highly competitive, and every match result can affect the final standings, so both teams will give their all.
Team Information
Ham-Kam has had an average season in NOR D1, with a balanced squad but lacking top stars. At home, Ham-Kam has some fighting power, with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 home matches, scoring 18 goals and conceding 10, averaging nearly 2 goals per home game with relatively solid defense. However, Ham-Kam's recent form has dipped; in their last league match, they drew 2-2 away to Sandefjord, and in their last three league games, they have 1 win and 2 draws, with a low win rate. The team relies on overall coordination in attack but often struggles against strong opponents. Based on statistics from their last 10 matches, Ham-Kam averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game, with an average possession of 50.6%, 3.9 corners, 12.2 fouls, and 1.0 yellow card per game. These numbers indicate decent attacking efficiency but a defense that is not impenetrable.
Tromso IL has been strong this season, currently near the top of the league. Their recent form is outstanding; in their last league match, they thrashed Valerenga 4-0 at home, and they have won all of their last three matches in all competitions, keeping clean sheets in all of them, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 1, showing excellent form on both ends. Tromso IL's away record is also solid, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 away matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 5. The team has multiple scoring threats in attack and a solid defense, making them stronger overall than Ham-Kam. According to statistics, Tromso IL averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game in their last 10 matches, with an average possession of 47.3%, 4.7 corners, 11.0 fouls, and 1.5 yellow cards. Although their possession is slightly lower than Ham-Kam's, Tromso IL's defensive efficiency is higher, especially with recent consecutive clean sheets.
Recent Results
Ham-Kam has 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 matches across all competitions, scoring 18 goals and conceding 10. In their last 5 league matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 goals and conceding 5. In their most recent league match, they drew 2-2 away to Sandefjord, coming from behind twice to equalize, showing resilience but defensive vulnerabilities. In their last 3 league matches, Ham-Kam averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per game, with a balanced attack and defense. Specifically, on July 12, 2026, they drew 2-2 away to Sandefjord; on June 27, 2026, they won 2-1 away to IFK Goteborg in a friendly; on June 20, 2026, they drew 1-1 away to Fredrikstad in a friendly; on May 30, 2026, they drew 2-2 away to Aalesund in the league; and on May 25, 2026, they won 2-0 at home against Lillestrom in the league. These results show that Ham-Kam has been drawing frequently recently, with a decline in winning ability.
Tromso IL has 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 10 matches across all competitions, scoring 22 goals and conceding 8. In their last 5 league matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 11 goals and conceding 6. In their most recent league match, they thrashed Valerenga 4-0 at home, taking control from the start and leading 3-0 at halftime, eventually winning easily. In their last 3 league matches, Tromso IL averages 2.7 goals scored and only 0.3 goals conceded per game, with a near-perfect defense. Specifically, on July 12, 2026, they won 4-0 at home against Valerenga; on June 25, 2026, they won 4-1 at home against Orgryte in a friendly; on May 30, 2026, they drew 0-0 away to KFUM Oslo in the league; on May 25, 2026, they drew 1-1 at home against Aalesund in the league; and on May 17, 2026, they lost 0-5 away to Bodo/Glimt in the league. Despite that heavy defeat, Tromso IL's recent overall form is red-hot, especially with their attack firing on all cylinders.
Head-to-Head
In the last 10 meetings between the two sides, Tromso IL has 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, holding a clear advantage. At Ham-Kam's home, in the last 5 meetings, Tromso IL has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The most recent meeting was on September 21, 2025, when Tromso IL won 1-0 at home against Ham-Kam. Historical data shows that Tromso IL has a good understanding of Ham-Kam and holds a psychological edge. Specific results include: on June 22, 2025, Ham-Kam lost 1-3 at home to Tromso IL; on November 4, 2024, Tromso IL drew 3-3 at home with Ham-Kam; on July 7, 2024, Ham-Kam drew 0-0 at home with Tromso IL; on September 17, 2023, Tromso IL won 2-1 at home against Ham-Kam; and on May 13, 2023, Ham-Kam lost 1-2 at home to Tromso IL. Additionally, Tromso IL has beaten Ham-Kam multiple times in friendlies. Historical head-to-head data indicates that Tromso IL often takes control when facing Ham-Kam.
Squad Information
Since the source data does not provide specific injury or starting lineup information, the lineups for this match are uncertain. For Ham-Kam, the main squad is relatively stable, but with a congested schedule, there may be rotations. Based on recent matches, Ham-Kam won 4-0 at home against KFUM Oslo on April 19, 2026, and 2-1 at home against Start on April 26, 2026, showing home strength. For Tromso IL, the team is in hot form, with key players well-rested, and they are expected to continue with their recent starting lineup. Tromso IL won 1-0 away to Sarpsborg on April 19, 2026, 3-1 at home against Sandefjord on April 26, 2026, and 2-0 at home against Molde on May 10, 2026, demonstrating stability. Specific lineups await official pre-match announcements.
Handicap Trends
The initial handicap for this match is away team Tromso IL -0.25, with home team odds at 1.00 and away team odds at 0.88. As of now, the handicap remains at away -0.25, but the away odds have dropped to 0.84, while the home odds have risen to 1.04, indicating increased support from bookmakers for the away side. For totals, the initial line is 2.25, with over odds at 0.82 and under odds at 1.04; currently, the line remains 2.25, with over odds rising to 0.84 and under odds dropping to 1.03, showing little change. In European odds, the initial home win was 3.35, draw 3.45, and away win 2.15; currently, home win has risen to 3.60, draw has dropped to 3.25, and away win has slightly decreased to 2.12, with the away win odds slightly lowered and the draw odds dropping significantly, indicating that bookmakers are cautious about an away win or a draw. For the first half handicap, the initial half-time handicap was home team +0.25 with odds of 0.68 and away team at 1.25, unchanged currently; the half-time total was initially 1 goal, with over odds at 1.00 and under at 0.86, currently over has risen to 1.04 and under dropped to 0.84; half-time European odds initially had home win at 3.80, draw at 2.11, and away win at 2.76, currently home win has risen to 4.10, draw dropped to 2.01, and away win risen to 2.79, suggesting bookmakers are cautious about a half-time draw. For corner kicks, the initial corner total was 10, with over odds at 0.875 and under at 0.925, currently adjusted to 9.5, with over odds at 0.80 and under at 1.00, indicating a lower expectation for total corners.
Technical Statistics
According to source data, Ham-Kam averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game in their last 10 matches, with an average possession of 50.6%, 3.9 corners, 12.2 fouls, and 1.0 yellow card per game. Tromso IL averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game in their last 10 matches, with an average possession of 47.3%, 4.7 corners, 11.0 fouls, and 1.5 yellow cards. The data shows that Ham-Kam has slightly higher attacking efficiency, but Tromso IL has better defense. Specifically for recent form, in their last 3 matches, Ham-Kam averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per game, with 11 shots faced, 5 corners, 1.3 yellow cards, 17 fouls, and 55% possession; Tromso IL averages 2.7 goals scored and 0.3 goals conceded per game, with 11 shots faced, 4.5 corners, 1 yellow card, 9.5 fouls, and 49% possession. Tromso IL's defensive numbers in the last 3 matches are outstanding, conceding only 0.3 goals per game.
Goal Timing Distribution
Ham-Kam's goals this season are concentrated in the final 15 minutes , with 20 goals, followed by 61-75 minutes and 1-15 minutes . In terms of goals conceded, the most are in the 46-60 minute and 76-90 minute periods, both with 24 goals, followed by 31-45 minutes . Tromso IL's goal distribution is relatively even, with the most goals in the 46-60 minute period , followed by 1-15 minutes and 76-90 minutes . For goals conceded, the most are in the 16-30 minute period , followed by 61-75 minutes and 76-90 minutes . From the goal timing distribution, Ham-Kam poses a greater threat in the late stages of the match, but their defense tends to be vulnerable in the last half hour; Tromso IL has strong goal-scoring ability in the middle of both halves, but their defense is relatively weak in the middle of the first half.
Recommendation Logic
Based on the above analysis, Tromso IL's recent form is clearly superior to Ham-Kam's, and they hold a historical head-to-head advantage. In terms of handicaps, the away -0.25 with decreasing odds indicates increased confidence from bookmakers in the away side. European odds show a decrease in away win odds and a drop in draw odds, suggesting a strong likelihood of the away team not losing. For totals, the 2.25 line is relatively conservative; considering Tromso IL's recent solid defense and Ham-Kam's decent home attacking ability, but Tromso IL's away defense is also strong, the total goals are expected to be low. Therefore, this match recommends Tromso IL to win away, with score predictions of 1-2 or 0-2, handicap recommendation Tromso IL -0.25, and total recommendation Under 2.25.
Risk Reminder
Football matches are unpredictable; Ham-Kam has some fighting power at home and has drawn with Tromso IL in historical meetings. Although Tromso IL is in hot form, playing away requires caution. Additionally, injury and starting lineup information has not been confirmed, which may affect the match result. It is recommended to bet rationally and within your means.
Final Recommendation
- 1X2: Tromso IL win
- Score: 0-2,0-1
- Handicap: Tromso IL -0.25
- Total: Under 2.25