Match Background
At 01:15 UTC on July 18, 2026, the 15th round of the Norwegian Football Super League will feature a lopsided contest as league leaders Bodo Glimt host mid-to-lower table side Fredrikstad at Aspmyra Stadion. This match is a key fixture in the second half of the season, with Bodo Glimt pushing for the title and Fredrikstad fighting for survival. Historically, Bodo Glimt hold a clear advantage, with 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 10 meetings, including 5 wins and 1 draw at home, often with big scorelines such as a 5-0 home win on December 1, 2025, a 2-0 away win on April 1, 2024, and a 2-2 home draw on November 11, 2024. Overall, Bodo Glimt have a significant psychological edge. In earlier encounters in the Norwegian First Division, Bodo Glimt also recorded big wins, such as a 4-0 home win on August 17, 2017, and a 4-0 home win on July 7, 2013, further confirming their historical dominance. The most recent meeting on December 1, 2025, saw Bodo Glimt crush Fredrikstad 5-0 at home, with a 3-0 halftime lead, 7 corners to 5, and an initial handicap of -2/2.5. In the away match on July 17, 2025, Bodo Glimt won 1-0 with a 0-0 halftime score, 8 corners to 3, and an initial handicap of -1. The 2024 home match ended 2-2, with Fredrikstad leading 1-0 at halftime, 8 corners to 0, and an initial handicap of -1/1.5. These historical data show that Bodo Glimt often dominate at home, but Fredrikstad have occasionally managed to resist, as seen in the 2-2 draw in 2024.
Team Information
Bodo Glimt are a traditional powerhouse in NOR D1, having won multiple league titles in recent years, known for their ferocious attacking power. This season they maintain strong competitiveness, currently near the top of the table. The squad is well-stocked, with key players in excellent form, especially at home where they often produce suffocating attacking tempo. According to statistics from the last 10 matches, Bodo Glimt average 3.1 goals per home game, concede only 0.8 goals, have 62.4% possession, and average 6.7 corners per game, showing comprehensive dominance. In the last 5 matches, they average 3 goals scored, 0.8 conceded, 8.2 shots faced, 4.8 corners, 0.5 yellow cards, 10.3 fouls, and 59% possession. In the last 3 matches, they average 3.3 goals scored, 0.3 conceded, 10 shots faced, 3.5 corners, 0.5 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 57% possession. These numbers indicate that Bodo Glimt are in peak form, especially in attack. Fredrikstad are a mid-to-lower table team in NOR D1, with limited overall strength, especially poor away performances. This season their away record is poor, with many defensive vulnerabilities, often struggling against strong opponents. Fredrikstad average only 1 goal per away game in the last 10 matches, concede 1.6 goals, have 49.2% possession, and average 4.1 corners per game, all stats being inferior. In the last 5 matches, they average 0.8 goals scored, 1.4 conceded, 10.6 shots faced, 4.6 corners, 1.6 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 54.4% possession. In the last 3 matches, they average 0.3 goals scored, 1.7 conceded, 9.3 shots faced, 5.7 corners, 2.3 yellow cards, 7 fouls, and 55% possession. The recent away form is particularly worrying, with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last 6 away matches across all competitions.
Recent Form
Bodo Glimt are in hot form, with 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 10 matches across all competitions, including 5 wins and 1 draw at home. In NOR D1, they have 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches, including a 5-0 home win over Tromso, a 3-1 home win over Brann, a 5-0 home win over Start, a 4-1 away win over Start, and a 2-2 draw away at Rosenborg. In friendlies, they also performed well, beating Start 4-0 and Molde 4-1. The team averages over 3 goals per game, with terrifying attacking power. Specifically, on May 17, 2026, they won 5-0 at home against Tromso, leading 1-0 at halftime, with 4 corners to 1; on May 24, 2026, they won 3-1 at home against Brann, leading 2-0 at halftime, with 6 corners to 3; on May 1, 2026, they won 5-0 at home against Start, leading 2-0 at halftime, with 13 corners to 4; on April 27, 2026, they won 2-0 away at Lillestrom, leading 1-0 at halftime, with 4 corners to 5. These matches fully demonstrate Bodo Glimt's strong home attack and stable defense. However, they also suffered a 0-1 home loss to Molde on May 5, 2026, with 11 corners to 1, showing that even strong teams can have off days. In the Norwegian Cup, they drew 2-2 away at Brann on May 10, 2026, with 8 corners to 3. Fredrikstad are in poor form, with only 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in the last 10 matches, including 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses away. In NOR D1, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, including a 0-2 home loss to Lillestrom, a 2-1 home win over Start, a 1-1 draw away at Sandefjord, a 2-1 home win over HamKam, and a 1-2 home loss to Viking. In friendlies, they lost 1-3 to Valerenga, drew 0-0 with Elfsborg, and drew 1-1 with HamKam. The team averages less than 1 goal per game, conceding nearly 2 goals per game. For example, on July 11, 2026, they lost 0-2 at home to Lillestrom, 0-0 at halftime, with 8 corners to 3; on May 30, 2026, they won 2-1 at home against Start, trailing 0-1 at halftime, with 2 corners to 1; on May 26, 2026, they drew 1-1 away at Sandefjord, with 5 corners to 6; on May 16, 2026, they won 2-1 at home against HamKam, leading 2-0 at halftime, with 5 corners to 7; on May 9, 2026, they lost 1-2 away at Sarpsborg, with 3 corners to 11; on May 3, 2026, they lost 1-3 away at Brann, with 2 corners to 3; on April 25, 2026, they lost 1-2 at home to Viking, with 3 corners to 6. These matches reflect Fredrikstad's inconsistent form, especially fragile away from home, where they have lost 4 of their last 6 away games.
Squad Information
Bodo Glimt have ample squad depth, with most key players healthy. The attack features multiple goal-scoring threats, the midfield is well-organized, and the defense is solid. Statistically, Bodo Glimt allow 8.8 shots per game, commit 9.7 fouls per game, and receive 0.4 yellow cards per game in the last 10 matches, showing good defensive discipline. In the last 5 matches, they allow 8.2 shots, commit 10.3 fouls, and receive 0.5 yellow cards. In the last 3 matches, they allow 10 shots, commit 9 fouls, and receive 0.5 yellow cards. The low yellow card count indicates a disciplined defensive approach without excessive fouling. Fredrikstad face some injury issues, with an incomplete starting lineup, especially defensive vulnerabilities, making it difficult to withstand opponents' attacks on the road. Fredrikstad allow 11.6 shots per game, commit 12.7 fouls per game, and receive 1.9 yellow cards per game in the last 10 matches, indicating high defensive pressure and frequent fouls. In the last 5 matches, they allow 10.6 shots, commit 11 fouls, and receive 1.6 yellow cards. In the last 3 matches, they allow 9.3 shots, commit 7 fouls, and receive 2.3 yellow cards. The high yellow card rate suggests that Fredrikstad often resort to tactical fouls to stop opponents, which could be a risk against a potent attack like Bodo Glimt.
Odds Movement
The initial European odds for a home win were 1.16, now dropped to 1.14; draw odds rose from 8.30 to 8.90; away win odds rose from 14.50 to 15.50, clearly favoring the home side. For Asian handicap, the initial line was home team -2.25, now raised to -2.5, with home team odds rising from 0.93 to 1.02 and away team odds dropping from 0.95 to 0.85, indicating increased confidence in a big home win. For over/under, the initial line was 3.75, with over odds dropping from 1.02 to 0.88 and under odds rising from 0.84 to 0.99, favoring a high-scoring game. For the first half handicap, home team -1, with over/under rising from 1.5 to 1.75, suggesting the home team may lead at halftime. First half European odds for home win dropped from 1.43 to 1.40, draw rose from 3.40 to 3.55, away win rose from 9.50 to 9.80, further confirming expectations of a home halftime lead. For corner handicap, initial over 10.5 corners, now adjusted to 10, with over odds at 1.00 and under at 0.80, indicating expected corners slightly below initial projection. The odds movement clearly points to a dominant home performance with multiple goals.
Recommendation Logic
Bodo Glimt have strong home attack, averaging over 3 goals per game recently, while Fredrikstad have weak away defense, conceding nearly 2 goals per game. Historically, Bodo Glimt have recorded multiple big home wins, including 5-0, 4-0, etc. European odds and Asian handicap both support a big home win, and over/under also favors over. In terms of goal timing, Bodo Glimt score most frequently in the 31-45 minute and 61-75 minute periods, with 21 and 22 goals respectively, while Fredrikstad concede most in the 76-90 minute period, with 20 goals, suggesting the home team may extend the lead in the latter stages. Bodo Glimt also have strong first-half performances, often leading at halftime, as seen in recent matches. Fredrikstad, on the other hand, have scored most of their goals in the 76-90 minute period but concede heavily in the 1-15 minute and 31-45 minute periods, indicating they are vulnerable early and just before halftime. Therefore, this match recommends Bodo Glimt -2.5, total goals over 3.75, and score predictions of 4-0 and 5-0.
Risk Reminder
Although Bodo Glimt have the advantage, football is unpredictable. If Fredrikstad adopt a defensive approach, they may limit the home team's attacking efficiency. Additionally, Bodo Glimt may have European commitments midweek, but no such schedule is known before this match. Historically, Fredrikstad managed a 2-2 draw away at Bodo Glimt on November 11, 2024, showing they are not entirely without resistance. In that match, Fredrikstad led 1-0 at halftime and had 0 corners, while Bodo Glimt had 8 corners, indicating that Fredrikstad can be resilient when defending deep. Also, Bodo Glimt lost 0-1 at home to Molde on May 5, 2026, despite having 11 corners to 1, showing that even dominant teams can be frustrated. Fredrikstad's recent away form includes a 1-1 draw at Sandefjord and a 2-1 win at HamKam, suggesting they can occasionally get results on the road. Please consider carefully and bet responsibly.
Final Recommendation
- 1X2: Bodo Glimt win
- Score: 4-0,5-0
- Handicap: Bodo Glimt -2.5
- Total: Over 3.75