Match Background
At 10:00 UTCon June 28, 2026, the final round of the 2026 World Cup group stage sees Jordan take on Argentina at the Dallas Stadium. This is the third round of Group B. Argentina has won both matches with 6 points, securing top spot in the group and advancing early; Jordan has lost both matches with 0 points, sitting at the bottom and eliminated from the knockout stage. Therefore, Argentina may rotate their squad, while Jordan hopes to end their World Cup campaign with a respectable performance. The weather at Dallas Stadium is light rain with a temperature of 23°C, which is suitable for both teams and should not significantly affect technical and tactical play.
Team Information
Jordan is currently ranked 68th in the world, with a huge gap in overall strength compared to Argentina. In the first two group matches, Jordan lost 1-3 to Austria and 1-2 to Algeria, conceding 5 goals in total, with obvious defensive vulnerabilities. Offensively, Jordan scored 2 goals in two games, a decent performance, but they struggled to create sustained threats against strong opponents. Argentina is ranked 1st in the world and is a top favorite to win the World Cup. In the first two group matches, Argentina defeated Algeria 3-0 and Austria 3-0, scoring 6 goals and conceding none, showing dominance on both ends. Star player Messi has contributed 5 goals in two games, in excellent form. In the group standings, Argentina leads with 6 points, Austria and Algeria have 3 points each, and Jordan is at the bottom with 0 points.
Recent Form
Jordan has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 matches across all competitions, scoring 16 goals and conceding 16, showing inconsistent form. In their last 5 matches, Jordan has 1 draw and 4 losses without a win, including a 0-2 friendly loss to Colombia, a 1-4 loss to Switzerland, and World Cup group losses to Austria and Algeria , indicating poor form. Specifically, on June 17, 2026, Jordan lost 1-3 to Austria in the World Cup group stage ; on June 8, they lost 0-2 to Colombia in a friendly ; on May 31, they lost 1-4 to Switzerland in a friendly ; on April 1, they drew 2-2 with Nigeria in a friendly ; on March 28, they drew 2-2 with Costa Rica in a friendly . Argentina has won 9 and lost 1 in their last 10 matches, scoring 27 goals and conceding only 2, showing extremely strong form. They have won all of their last 5 matches, including friendly wins over Iceland , Honduras , and Zambia , and World Cup group wins over Algeria and Austria , excelling both offensively and defensively. On June 17, 2026, Argentina won 3-0 against Algeria in the World Cup ; on June 10, they won 3-0 against Iceland in a friendly ; on June 7, they won 2-0 against Honduras in a friendly ; on April 1, they won 5-0 against Zambia in a friendly ; on March 28, they won 2-1 against Mauritania in a friendly . Argentina's average rating over the last 10 matches is 6.93, while Jordan's is 6.52, indicating Argentina's more consistent performance.
Lineup Information
Based on the previous match lineup, Jordan is expected to field a 3-4-2-1 formation: goalkeeper Aburaila; defenders Abudahab, Yazan, Nasib; midfielders Taha, Rawabdeh, Al-Rashdan, Haddad; forwards Madi, Olwan, Tamari. The key player is winger Tamari, valued at €10 million, who has scored in both group matches and is Jordan's main offensive threat. In the previous match against Algeria, Jordan's starting lineup included goalkeeper Aburaila , defenders Taha , Al-Rashdan , Nasib , Rawabdeh , Abudahab , forwards Olwan , Tamari , and substitutes Hashish , Madi , Haddad , etc. Argentina is expected to field a 4-4-1-1 formation: goalkeeper Martinez; defenders Montiel, Otamendi, Senesi, Tagliafico; midfielders Paredes, Palacios, Lo Celso, Simeone; forwards Paz, Alvarez. Having already advanced, Argentina may rotate several key players, with Messi, Lautaro, De Paul, etc., possibly resting. Injured center-back Romero is confirmed out. In the previous match against Austria, Argentina's starting lineup included goalkeeper Martinez , defenders Medina , L. Martinez , Romero , Molina , midfielders Enzo , Mac Allister , De Paul , Almada , forwards Messi , Lautaro . Substitutes included Otamendi , Gonzalez , Tagliafico , Alvarez , Paredes , etc. Argentina's bench is also strong, including Alvarez , Paz , Simeone , etc.
Odds Movement
In this match, the initial handicap was Argentina -1.5/2, and it has now moved to Argentina -2, with the over side at 1.05 and the under side at 0.83, indicating increased confidence in a big Argentina win. The total goals line opened at 3 and remains at 3, with over at 0.85 and under at 1.02, suggesting high expectations for goals. In European odds, the home win has risen from 11.5 to 17, the draw from 6.1 to 7.6, and the away win has dropped from 1.2 to 1.16, further favoring Argentina. For the half-time handicap, Argentina -0.5/1 has moved to -1, while the half-time total remains at 1.25. For corners, the initial handicap was Jordan +2.5, now adjusted to +3, with over at 0.85 and under at 0.95; the total corners line opened at 9, now adjusted to 8.5, with over at 0.825 and under at 0.975. Looking at similar historical indices, Jordan, when receiving a handicap of -1.5/2, has lost 1-4 to Switzerland and 1-5 to Australia, but also drawn 2-2 with South Korea; Argentina, when giving a handicap of -1.5/2, has won 2-0 against Angola, 3-0 against Venezuela, and 3-1 against Costa Rica, covering the spread in all. In recent similar indices in the World Cup, Morocco -1.5/2 won 4-2 against Haiti, Portugal -1.5/2 won 5-0 against Uzbekistan, and Brazil -1.5/2 won 4-1 against South Korea, all resulting in over and covering the spread.
Recommendation Logic
Argentina's strength far exceeds Jordan's; even with a rotated squad, their overall strength is still dominant. Jordan's defense is weak, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game in the first two matches, while Argentina's attack is potent, averaging 3 goals per game. The handicap has moved from -1.5/2 to -2, showing strong confidence in a big Argentina win. The total goals line remains at 3 with low over odds; combined with both teams' offensive and defensive stats, the total goals in this match are expected to reach 3 or more. Considering Argentina may rotate, but their substitutes also possess strong attacking power, and Jordan, in a match for pride, may also attack aggressively, the game is unlikely to be one-sided, but Argentina winning by two or more goals is highly probable. According to technical statistics, Jordan averages 0.7 goals scored, 2.3 goals conceded, 14 shots faced, 1.7 corners, and 34% possession in their last 3 matches; Argentina averages 2.7 goals scored, 0 goals conceded, 6.3 shots faced, 1.7 corners, and 55% possession. Argentina dominates in possession and shots. In terms of goal timing, Jordan's goals are mainly concentrated in the 46-60 minute and 76-90 minute periods, while their conceded goals are concentrated in the 76-90 minute period ; Argentina's goals are concentrated in the 31-45 minute and 76-90 minute periods, with few conceded. For half-time/full-time, in the last two seasons, Argentina has had 4 half-time win/full-time win in 9 matches, while Jordan has had 1 half-time loss/full-time loss in 2 matches. For over/under, Jordan's last 2 matches have all been over, while Argentina's last 2 matches have been 1 over and 1 under.
Risk Reminder
Argentina has already advanced and may rotate heavily, potentially reducing attacking efficiency. Jordan drew 2-2 with Nigeria and 2-2 with Costa Rica in pre-World Cup friendlies, showing some potential for an upset. Additionally, after the handicap moved to -2, Argentina needs to win by three goals to fully cover the spread, posing a risk of winning but not covering. For total goals, if Argentina's attack slows down due to rotation or Jordan's defense overperforms, total goals may fall short of 3. For corners, Jordan averages 1.7 corners per game in their last 3 matches, while Argentina also averages 1.7, but Argentina has higher possession and may have an advantage in corners; however, after the adjustment to +3, Jordan's chances of covering the corner handicap increase. Weather-wise, light rain may affect the pitch, but both teams will need to adapt.
Final Recommendation
- 1X2: Jordan win
- Score: 1-4,2-5
- Handicap: Argentina -2
- Total: Over 3